New York State Gun Violence Reduction Program

In partnership with New York State criminal justice agencies and the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office, the Crime Lab is evaluating the impact of “reentry forums” on recidivism rates across the state of New York.
Challenge
In the state of New York, 40% of all individuals released from incarceration return to custody for a new crime or parole violation within three years of their release. With city, state, and national attention focused on decreasing prison and jail populations, the need to reduce recidivism and help people safely and successfully transition from facilities is more critical than ever.
Opportunity
Reentry forums connect people on parole with community members and members of law enforcement, who express messages of both deterrence and community support. The forums are designed to communicate the consequences of future violations, supplemented by connections to social services and offers of assistance. The Crime Lab partnered with the New York State Department of Corrections and Community Supervision, the New York State Department of Criminal Justice Services, and the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office to evaluate the impact of reentry forums on recidivism.
Project overview
To address the high rates at which formerly incarcerated people return to incarceration for subsequent parole violations or new crimes (“recidivism”), some cities across the country have begun implementing a promising approach to reducing recidivism (and violence) called offender notification forums, or reentry forums.
Led by law enforcement and social service representatives, reentry forums engage former violent offenders who are now on parole with messages of both deterrence and community support in a setting that conveys mutual respect and legitimacy. Although this model holds great promise, there haven’t been any rigorous evaluations of reentry forums to determine if they effectively (and cost-effectively) improve outcomes for returning citizens—until now.
The Crime Lab is partnering with the New York State Department of Corrections and Community Supervision, the New York State Department of Criminal Justice Services, and the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office to evaluate the impact of reentry forums on recidivism. Because innovations tested in New York often become models for other cities, lessons learned here about the reentry forums have the potential for outsize impact, helping jurisdictions across the country to both better serve returning citizens and promote public safety.
Years Active
2016 – present
Topics
Project Leads
Damilare Aboaba
Policy Research Analyst

Aaron Chalfin
Associate Professor and Graduate Chair of Criminology

Michael LaForest-Tucker
Assistant Professor, U.S. Air Force Academy

Lucie Parker
Associate Director, Data and Analytics


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Violence Reduction Dashboard

Webinar: Overview of the City of Chicago’s Violence Reduction Dashboard
Launched in May 2021 by the City of Chicago, with design and technical support from the Crime Lab, the Dashboard is a first-of-its-kind comprehensive tool that allows unfettered public access to city violence trends categorizable by victim type, date, and geographic area.

Machine Learning Can Predict Shooting Victimization Well Enough To Help Prevent It
This National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper shows that shootings are predictable enough to be preventable.